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UNDERSTAND THE CURVE

Car depreciation rates

Compare the planning assumptions behind the calculators. Change the years, price and kilometres to see how compounding affects each category.

Canadian dollars · Kilometres · Free planning tools

CATEGORY PLANNING ASSUMPTIONS

5-year depreciation, side by side

$40,000 starting value · 100,000 km over the period

Share of starting value remaining
Projected retained value by vehicle categorySix category curves from today to year 5. The selected category is highlighted. Exact annual values for it appear in the table below.0%25%50%75%100%TodayYear 3Year 5
Car: projected future value$16,343
Value kept after 5 years40.9%
Equivalent annual depreciation16.4%Geometric rate over the selected period
Each curve starts at the same price and kilometres.
CategoryFuture valueValue keptDollars lostAnnual equivalent
$16,34340.9%$23,65716.4%
$14,55936.4%$25,44118.3%
$17,97844.9%$22,02214.8%
$21,41453.5%$18,58611.7%
$14,61736.5%$25,38318.2%
$19,96449.9%$20,03613.0%

Car: year by year

Annual percentage loss is measured against the previous year’s projected value, including your mileage assumption.
TimeTotal kilometresProjected valueLoss that yearAnnual loss
Today0 km$40,000——
Year 120,000 km$31,546$8,45421.1%
Year 240,000 km$26,138$5,40817.1%
Year 360,000 km$21,919$4,22016.1%
Year 480,000 km$18,818$3,10114.1%
Year 5100,000 km$16,343$2,47413.1%

Rates compound on the remaining value. The category source uses separate first-five-year assumptions and a continuing rate after year five; mileage can change the effective annual loss above.

How these projections are made Sources & dates

This view applies AssetDropper’s six category curves and mileage assumptions to the same starting value. It does not apply model or brand adjustments.

These are new-car planning projections before selling costs, taxes and financing. They are not measured resale rankings or dealer trade-in offers. Actual condition, equipment, incentives and future supply can change the amount you receive.

Site data loaded Oct 20, 2026. Capture dates show when the site read a source; they do not establish that the source’s assumptions were published on that date.

A LITTLE MORE CONTEXT

Good questions to ask.

Are these measured Canadian depreciation rates?

These are category planning assumptions from AssetDropper, with a mileage adjustment. This reference view does not add model-specific evidence. They are not a published table of realised Canadian sales or a guarantee of future values.

Why can’t I just add the annual percentages?

Each year’s percentage applies to the value remaining at the start of that year. The equivalent annual rate shown here uses geometric compounding over the full period.

Why is the first year often different?

The supplied category curves use different assumptions for the first five years and a continuing rate after that. The annual table shows their effect at your chosen kilometres rather than assuming a single flat rate.

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